probability

Every Single One Of Loeb’s 3I/ATLAS “Anomalies” Deconstructed | Avi Loeb carefully hedges the probability it's a spacecraft around 40%, giving him plausible deniability of the bad-faith “just asking questions” variety while still making the comet sound weird enough to get him TV time and fan mail.

How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?

Article: How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 Strike Earth? NASA Revises Impact Probability

New Theory Increases Probability of Intelligent Life beyond Earth

Why Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist (but It’s Useful to Act like It Does)

New book ties together an improbably effective career in probability - EurekAlert

50 by 50—How can we reduce the probability of dying before age 70 by 50% globally by 2050? - EurekAlert

A new theoretical strategy for generating asymmetric distributions in probability and statistics - EurekAlert

People underestimate the probability of including at least one minority member in a group - EurekAlert

In a study of Greek-speaking participants, the strongest predictor of failure to attract mates was poor flirting ability: One unit increase in flirting capacity was associated with a more than three times increase in the probability to be in an intimate relationship than involuntarily single.