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Fire managers rely on pre-1849 conditions to guide wildfire decisions. New research finds climate change is shifting those conditions—and could double or triple wildfire frequency in Yosemite and other national parks.

UC Berkeley-led research indicates that continued climate change could severely increase wildfire above natural levels in Yosemite, Sequoia, Kings Canyon, and Lassen Volcanic National Parks. The study, which was published today in Environmental Research Letters, also provides data for park managers to reduce risks by proactively targeting natural fire to decrease understory fuels.

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